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China 2050 High Renewable Energy Penetration Scenario
and Roadmap Study
China 2050 High Renewable Energy Penetration Scenario
and Roadmap Study
Major Actions of Government,
Renewable Energy Industry, Power
Sector, and the Society Broadly
Before 2017 2020 2030 2050
GOVERNMENT
RENEWABLE
ENERGY
INDUSTRY
POWER
SECTOR
IV. JOINT
ACTIONS OF
THE WHOLE
SOCIETY
(I) Formulate and Implement Clean Low-Carbon
Energy Revolution Strategy and Action Plan,
Which Prioritize Renewable Energy
(II) Establish Power Market Mechanism Adaptable
to Renewable Energy Development
(I) Build a New-Type Grid Public Service Platform
(I) Transform Energy Development Mindset and
Make Everybody a Renewable Energy Prosumer
(I) Build Major Public R&D Platforms and
Technology Innovation System
(III) Improve the Green Tax System and
Carbon Trading Market System to Create A
Fair Playing Field for Renewable Energy
(II) Optimize the Deployment, Structure, and
Operation of Flexible Power
(II) Promote Application of Renewable Energy
Heating and Solar PV Power in Residential and
Commercial Buildings
(IV) Promote Electrication in Transportation
Sector to Increase Valley Load and Flexible
Energy Storage
(II) Keep Sustained Large-scale Development of
Renewable Power Generation
(IV) Establish Sound Systems of Legal Protection,
Comprehensive Management and Professional
Regulation Adaptable to Development of
Renewable Energy
(III) Develop Demand Response Mechanisms and
Energy Storage in a Large Scale
(III) Promote Electrication and Renewable
Energy Heating in Industry Sector
(V) Build Urban Renewable Energy System and
Smart Energy Internet
(III) Fully Promote Renewable Energy Heating
and Fuel Use
Formulate energy revolution strategy and action plan for
2030 and develop vision and goals for 2050.
Deregulate power sales market; establish renewable
power priority dispatch mechanism; make power trading
centers independent from grid.
Develop demonstrations of smart grid and micro grid;
promote integrated utilization of wind power and solar PV
power forecast system; construct inter-regional power
transmission lines.
Design innovation-oriented technology roadmap; build
public platforms for resource assessment, technology
R&D and testing for renewable energy such as wind
power and solar power.
Levy resource tax and environmental tax; and use the
fund collected to support renewable energy development.
Control and optimize the layout of coal power development in
eastern area; speed up the construction of pumped hydro storage
and natural gas power stations; improve the regulating capacity of
coal power (including combined heat and power generation).
Build a batch of demonstration projects (or zones) of
offshore wind power and distributed solar PV power.
Revise Electricity Law, strengthen power system
planning, and expand investment access; modernize
regulatory system.
Develop demonstrations of adjustable load and demand
response; develop pumped hydro storage; demonstrate
advanced energy storage technology.
Enhance communications with the general public to let
them fully recognize that renewable energy is the only
road to a clean energy future
Speed up the development of building roof-top and building
integrated PV power; build demonstration projects (or
zones) of renewable energy hot water, heating and cooling
in residential and commercial buildings.
Develop demonstrations in printing and dyeing, textile,
and food industries of using electricity and renewable
energy heating to replace fossil energy
Promote electric vehicle development and encourage
charging during valley load period.
Develop demonstrations of micro grid and integrated
energy network in buildings, communities, or regions
to realize integrated utilization of renewable energy,
electricity, gas, and district heating.
Develop demonstrations of solar heating, biomass
heating, and geothermal heating technology and
innovative business models.
Make coal consumption and coal power installed
capacity peak by 2020; CO
2
emission peak between
2020 and 2025.
Establish competitive bidding market, multi-part tariff,
cross-provincial and cross-regional power trading
market; promote the separation of power transmission
and distribution networks.
Fully promote smart grid; build advanced power
dispatch platform, and realize large-scale, hierarchical
integrated and optimal dispatch.
Basically build up wind power and solar power
technology system; average levelized cost of wind
power and solar power reduce to less than RMB0.5/
kWh and RMB0.6 /kWh.
Build up carbon trading market; start to allocate
carbon emission permits through auction; and levy
carbon taxes.
Fully control the scale of coal power; expand the scale
of pumped hydro storage and natural gas power; tap
the regulating capacity of coal power, concentrating
solar power, and nuclear power.
Straighten out hydropower development mechanism
to realize steady development; accelerate the
development of both centralized and distributed wind
power and solar power.
Everyone should take actions to promote the
production and utilization of renewable energy.
Scale up renewable energy heating and cooling
system; fully promote roof-top PV system and building
integrated PV system.
Promote large-scale application of using electricity
to replace primary energy consumption and using
renewable energy for heating in printing and dyeing,
textile, and food industries.
Electric vehicles have reached a certain scale, and
contribute to increasing valley load.
Develop demonstrations of urban integrated clean
energy network that mixes the energy supply service
for residents, businesses, industries, and transportation
sectors, and experiment smart energy Internet.
Promulgate Energy Law, improve Renewable Energy
Law, and build a regulatory system in coordination
with the market-oriented reform.
Expand the scale of adjustable load; promote
application of advanced energy storage technology on
the user side.
Promote the utilization of medium-low temperature
renewable energy heat; promote the commercialized
demonstration of advanced biofuel technology.
Fossil energy consumption reach peak and
begin to decline; renewable energy replace
the stocks of fossil energy.
Set up a modern electric power market
system under the support of the smart grid.
Vigorously promote micro grid; build smart
distribution grid suitable for high penetration
of distributed generation.
Grasp advanced integrated application
technology of renewable energy; wind
power and solar power generation are fully
economically competitive.
Fully implement the allocation of carbon
emission permits through auction
Change coal power into standby and peaking
capacity; coal power and gas power become
major adjustable power sources; all kinds of
power supply have the ability of adjustment.
Fully develop hydropower and roof –top PV
power; accelerate the pace of wind power
and solar power development in North
China, Northwest, and Northeast.
Energy users become energy producers
and consumers (prosumer).
Fully promote renewable energy heating
and cooling system; new buildings are
mandated to install building integrated PV
system.
Promote the utilization of renewable energy heat
in such industrial sectors with higher requirement
for the quality of heat supply, including electricity,
iron & steel and chemical industries.
Fully promote electric vehicles and form a
valley load of about 100 million kW.
The energy network, Internet of Things
and the Internet couple to form an "energy
Internet".
Build sound systems of legal protection,
comprehensive management and
professional regulation.
Fully tap the potential of adjustable load;
popularize advanced energy storage
technology.
Promote the utilization of medium-high
temperature renewable energy heat in
industrial and commercial elds.
Renewable energy meet 60% of energy
demand and 80% of electricity demand;
CO
2
emission decrease sharply.
Form a 21
st
- century electricity market
that is open to everyone.
Establish a comprehensive service-
oriented grid platform integrating two-way
transmission and interactive services.
Build world leading renewable energy
technology and industrial system.
Complete formation of a green tax system
and a carbon market system.
Fully establish a diversied and exible
power system.
Fully realize the diversied utilization of
various types of renewable power generation
technologies; the proportion of renewable
power generation exceed 80%.
Realize a new situation that everyone
enjoys, every family sells and everybody
benets from energy.
Renewable energy dominate residential
and commercial heating and cooling.
Fully popularize the use of electricity and
renewable energy heating to replace fossil
energy on a large scale
Popularize electric vehicles and provide a
valley load of more than 1 billion kW.
Fully develop smart energy Internet.
Form new-type energy management
system
Demand response and energy storage
become important exible resources.
Fully popularize the utilization of low-
temperature solar heat and meet the
heat demand of all buildings and some
industrial users.